To the astonishment of forecasters, a tiny hurricane just sprang up near Cuba

Satellites do not have the capability to directly measure wind speeds, so they make estimates based upon other observable variables, using instruments such as a scatterometer. Yes, that’s a real word. By these indirect estimates, Oscar had sustained winds between 48 mph and 63 mph (77 kph to 101 kph), which remains well below the threshold for a hurricane (74 mph, 119 kph).

The Air Force aircraft found sustained winds, in a tiny area to be sure, of 85 mph (137 kph). Hence, Hurricane Oscar.

How this happened

Oscar’s development shocked forecasters. There was only a modest indication from satellite imagery, as of Friday, that anything would form; and

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