Kirk LaPointe: Poilievre’s potential polling panic isn’t just noise

For a couple of weeks now I’ve wrestled with what to do about the unique data coming from Frank Graves, one of the country’s most prominent pollsters for decades. Could it be true? Should I just leave it be?

Graves, like all pollsters, is accustomed to the blame-the-messenger criticism that comes when his findings rankle. But lately, and particularly in recent days, the comments have taken on a menacing toxicity, something other pollsters wouldn’t often experience.

The reason: Graves tells me his findings suggest “there is a reasonable chance he” – meaning Pierre Poilievre, and by extension his Conservative Party – “might lose the election now.” 

You read that

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