The Washington Senate race is now statistically tied, according to a new Trafalgar Poll.
Republican newcomer Tiffany Smiley earned 42.2% support to 30-year incumbent Patty Murray’s 49.4%. The margin of error is 2.9%, making this a statistical dead heat. 2.4% of voters are undecided.
It appears the surge is coming from independent voters, in line with the significant swing expressed in a recent Seattle Times poll. Trafalgar oversampled Democrats at 44.2% versus 33.4% of Republican respondents. Independents accounted for 22.4% of the respondents. And there were more female (53.1%) respondents than male (46.9%).
New @trafalgar_group #WASen #Poll (10/25-28) shows incumbent #Murray still slightly in lead, but shaping up
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